Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.030364 0.033131 0.035862 0.038756 0.041730 0.044692 0.047862
2024-12-15 0.025262 0.029758 0.034309 0.039235 0.044395 0.049620 0.055294
2024-12-22 0.020764 0.026341 0.032119 0.038489 0.045265 0.052213 0.059839
2024-12-29 0.017726 0.024103 0.030848 0.038401 0.046531 0.054949 0.064261
2025-01-05 0.015049 0.022001 0.029510 0.038041 0.047325 0.057016 0.067808
2025-01-12 0.012650 0.020010 0.028135 0.037498 0.047791 0.058618 0.070743
2025-01-19 0.010019 0.017550 0.026089 0.036090 0.047209 0.058997 0.072278
2025-01-26 0.009072 0.017002 0.026148 0.036964 0.049066 0.061953 0.076520
2025-02-02 0.007782 0.015934 0.025538 0.037028 0.049979 0.063838 0.079562
2025-02-09 0.006148 0.014295 0.024177 0.036174 0.049819 0.064507 0.081245
2025-02-16 0.005244 0.013530 0.023808 0.036418 0.050848 0.066445 0.084269
2025-02-23 0.004238 0.012530 0.023103 0.036232 0.051361 0.067786 0.086613
2025-03-02 0.003143 0.011388 0.022308 0.036076 0.052076 0.069536 0.089623
2025-03-09 0.002339 0.010597 0.021953 0.036466 0.053455 0.072076 0.093562
2025-03-16 0.001296 0.009164 0.020692 0.035727 0.053508 0.073115 0.095830
2025-03-23 0.000665 0.008225 0.020009 0.035639 0.054273 0.074917 0.098908
2025-03-30 0.000177 0.007208 0.019148 0.035288 0.054699 0.076308 0.101501
2025-04-06 NaN 0.006173 0.018180 0.034759 0.054882 0.077399 0.103733
2025-04-13 NaN 0.004798 0.016593 0.033390 0.054036 0.077291 0.104604
2025-04-20 NaN 0.004605 0.016763 0.034240 0.055798 0.080127 0.108735
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004060 0.016339 0.034302 0.056606 0.081860 0.111618
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003168 0.015257 0.033472 0.056321 0.082326 0.113065
2025-05-11 NaN 0.002794 0.015004 0.033709 0.057302 0.084226 0.116102